MARKET REPORTBULLISH

Soft Jobs Data Lifts Stocks and Gold, Pressures Dollar

Traders scaled back bets on further Federal Reserve rate hikes after a weaker-than-expected jobs report.

Executive takeaway

U.S. stock futures rose and gold rebounded from its weekly slide as weak jobs data pushed traders to pare back expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate hikes.

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Gold rebounds as dollar wobbles on Fed bets. Gold prices and the dollar index are moving in opposite directions as traders pare back expectations for further Fed rate hikes, illustrating the cross-asset reaction to the soft jobs data.

Gold rebounds as dollar wobbles on Fed bets

Gold prices and the dollar index are moving in opposite directions as traders pare back expectations for further Fed rate hikes, illustrating the cross-asset reaction to the soft jobs data.

Live prices for GLD and the U.S. Dollar Index (DX-Y.NYB), reflecting the moves described in the Investing.com wire reports on gold and the dollar.

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<figure><a href="https://www.indy.finance/news/soft-jobs-data-lifts-stocks-and-gold-pressures-dollar"><img src="https://www.indy.finance/news/soft-jobs-data-lifts-stocks-and-gold-pressures-dollar/graphic.svg" alt="Gold rebounds as dollar wobbles on Fed bets" width="1200" height="675"></a><figcaption>Gold rebounds as dollar wobbles on Fed bets — <a href="https://www.indy.finance/news/soft-jobs-data-lifts-stocks-and-gold-pressures-dollar">Indy Finance</a></figcaption></figure>
U.S. stock futures ticked higher heading into the October 4 session after jobs data came in softer than expected, reducing trader expectations for further Federal Reserve interest rate increases. Gold prices edged higher, recovering part of a prior weekly slide, while the dollar wobbled against other currencies. The moves reflect a reassessment of how much more tightening the Fed needs to do to control inflation. Lower rate-hike odds tend to support equities and gold while weighing on the dollar, and Tuesday's price action across all three markets moved in that direction together. Separately, a former Bank of Japan policymaker argued for an end to Japan's low-rate era paired with increased government spending, a reflationist stance that could add a cross-currents factor for currency markets if Japanese policy shifts while the Fed eases its hiking pace.
What would change this view

This framing would be wrong if an upcoming jobs or inflation report surprises to the upside and revives expectations for a near-term Fed rate hike.

Wire sources cited

Produced automatically by the INDY NEWS Desk from the public wire sources cited above, and checked against them before publication. Market commentary, not investment advice.